2026 NFL · Week 10 · Nov 15 – Nov 16

NFL Week 10 big-game preview

⚠ adjusted Nov 13 for availability

Not a pick — a production forecast. Our ratings carry no win/loss input, so there is no spread here. Every projected player is verified on his team's current 2026 roster — a 2025 producer who was traded or signed away is projected for his new team against the new opponent (and flagged), and a departed player never appears. Where the depth chart lists a 2026 rookie starter, we project him from his college-continuous rating — something no other outlet can do.

Patriots at LionsSun Nov 15, 9:30AM ET
Patriots's 78th-percentile passing attack meets Lions's 9th-percentile pass defense — Drake Maye projects for 245 pass yds.
Patriots Pass O → Lions Pass D
offense1492 · 78th pct
defense1316 · 9th pct
edge +176 offense★ biggest edge
Patriots Rush O → Lions Rush D
offense1422 · 66th pct
defense1452 · 72nd pct
edge -30 defense
Lions Pass O → Patriots Pass D
offense1574 · 100th pct
defense1449 · 69th pct
edge +125 offense
Lions Rush O → Patriots Rush D
offense1464 · 91st pct
defense1458 · 75th pct
edge +6 offense

Patriots

Drake MayeQB · rtg 1514
245 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD25 Rush yds
Hunter HenryTE · rtg 1537
3.3 Rec40 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
A.J. BrownWR · rtg 1528
4.9 Rec65 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD

Lions

Jared GoffQB · rtg 1584
270 Pass yds1.6 Pass TD0.5 INT
Jahmyr GibbsRB · rtg 1582
75 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD35 Rec yds
Sam LaPortaTE · rtg 1549
4.3 Rec50 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Vikings at PackersSun Nov 15, 1:00PM ET
Packers's 66th-percentile pass defense looks to smother Vikings's 44th-percentile passing game — Kirk Cousins projects for 240 pass yds.
Vikings Pass O → Packers Pass D
offense1386 · 44th pct
defense1445 · 66th pct
edge -59 defense★ biggest edge
Vikings Rush O → Packers Rush D
offense1394 · 41st pct
defense1448 · 69th pct
edge -54 defense
Packers Pass O → Vikings Pass D
offense1494 · 84th pct
defense1474 · 88th pct
edge +20 offense
Packers Rush O → Vikings Rush D
offense1406 · 47th pct
defense1441 · 66th pct
edge -35 defense

Vikings

Kirk Cousinswas RaidersQB · rtg 1513
240 Pass yds1.9 Pass TD0.8 INT
T.J. HockensonTE · rtg 1507
3.7 Rec35 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD
Justin JeffersonWR · rtg 1548
4.1 Rec50 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD

Packers

Jordan LoveQB · rtg 1472
260 Pass yds1.8 Pass TD0.8 INT
Tucker KraftTE · rtg 1452
3.8 Rec45 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Christian WatsonWR · rtg 1427
4.5 Rec75 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Niners at CowboysSun Nov 15, 4:25PM ET
Niners's 97th-percentile passing attack meets Cowboys's 12th-percentile pass defense — Brock Purdy projects for 240 pass yds.
Niners Pass O → Cowboys Pass D
offense1546 · 97th pct
defense1338 · 12th pct
edge +208 offense★ biggest edge
Niners Rush O → Cowboys Rush D
offense1463 · 84th pct
defense1340 · 9th pct
edge +123 offense
Cowboys Pass O → Niners Pass D
offense1518 · 91st pct
defense1487 · 97th pct
edge +31 offense
Cowboys Rush O → Niners Rush D
offense1410 · 50th pct
defense1488 · 91st pct
edge -78 defense

Niners

Brock PurdyQB · rtg 1539
240 Pass yds2 Pass TD0.8 INT
George KittleTE · rtg 1632
4.6 Rec60 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Christian McCaffreyRB · rtg 1610
65 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD35 Rec yds

Cowboys

Dak PrescottQB · rtg 1540
240 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD0.6 INT
Javonte WilliamsRB · rtg 1455
65 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD10 Rec yds
CeeDee LambWR · rtg 1595
6.1 Rec80 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Chiefs at FalconsSun Nov 15, 1:00PM ET
Chiefs's 94th-percentile pass defense looks to smother Falcons's 34th-percentile passing game — Michael Penix Jr. projects for 215 pass yds.
Chiefs Pass O → Falcons Pass D
offense1488 · 75th pct
defense1406 · 47th pct
edge +82 offense
Chiefs Rush O → Falcons Rush D
offense1414 · 53rd pct
defense1382 · 41st pct
edge +32 offense
Falcons Pass O → Chiefs Pass D
offense1377 · 34th pct
defense1482 · 94th pct
edge -105 defense★ biggest edge
Falcons Rush O → Chiefs Rush D
offense1477 · 94th pct
defense1434 · 59th pct
edge +43 offense

Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes IIQB · rtg 1582
245 Pass yds1.4 Pass TD0.8 INT
Travis KelceTE · rtg 1694
3.8 Rec45 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · rtg 1547
95 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD25 Rec yds

Falcons

Michael Penix Jr.QB · rtg 1432
215 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD0.7 INT
Bijan RobinsonRB · rtg 1610
90 Rush yds0.5 Rush TD30 Rec yds
Kyle PittsTE · rtg 1501
4.1 Rec45 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Chargers at RavensMon Nov 16, 8:15PM ET
Ravens's 100th-percentile running attack meets Chargers's 22nd-percentile rush defense — Jacoby Brissett projects for 220 pass yds.
Chargers Pass O → Ravens Pass D
offense1434 · 66th pct
defense1384 · 34th pct
edge +50 offense
Chargers Rush O → Ravens Rush D
offense1365 · 25th pct
defense1526 · 97th pct
edge -161 defense
Ravens Pass O → Chargers Pass D
offense1391 · 50th pct
defense1436 · 62nd pct
edge -45 defense
Ravens Rush O → Chargers Rush D
offense1634 · 100th pct
defense1357 · 22nd pct
edge +277 offense★ biggest edge

Chargers

Justin HerbertQB · rtg 1477
210 Pass yds1 Pass TD25 Rush yds
Omarion HamptonRB · rtg 1427
45 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Charlie KolarTE · rtg 1376
2 Rec25 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD

Ravens

Jacoby Brissettwas CardinalsQB · rtg 1400
220 Pass yds1.4 Pass TD0.9 INT
Derrick HenryRB · rtg 1669
90 Rush yds0.9 Rush TD5 Rec yds
Mark AndrewsTE · rtg 1517
3.1 Rec25 Rec yds0 Rec TD
Rams at CardinalsSun Nov 15, 4:05PM ET
Rams's 88th-percentile passing attack meets Cardinals's 44th-percentile pass defense — Matthew Stafford projects for 265 pass yds.
Rams Pass O → Cardinals Pass D
offense1516 · 88th pct
defense1398 · 44th pct
edge +118 offense★ biggest edge
Rams Rush O → Cardinals Rush D
offense1441 · 75th pct
defense1358 · 28th pct
edge +83 offense
Cardinals Pass O → Rams Pass D
offense1376 · 31st pct
defense1408 · 53rd pct
edge -32 defense
Cardinals Rush O → Rams Rush D
offense1434 · 72nd pct
defense1483 · 88th pct
edge -49 defense

Rams

Matthew StaffordQB · rtg 1543
265 Pass yds1.9 Pass TD0.8 INT
Kyren WilliamsRB · rtg 1582
65 Rush yds0.5 Rush TD25 Rec yds
Tyler HigbeeTE · rtg 1476
3 Rec35 Rec yds0.1 Rec TD

Cardinals

Carson Beckrookie · college-continuousQB · rtg 1462
college-continuous seed 1462 (r=0.8 × college final 1477)
220 Pass yds1 Pass TD10 Rush yds
Trey McBrideTE · rtg 1578
7.2 Rec65 Rec yds0.5 Rec TD
Tyler AllgeierRB · rtg 1347
40 Rush yds0.1 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Bills at JetsSun Nov 15, 1:00PM ET
Bills's 97th-percentile running attack meets Jets's 38th-percentile rush defense — Josh Allen projects for 240 pass yds.
Bills Pass O → Jets Pass D
offense1528 · 94th pct
defense1420 · 59th pct
edge +108 offense
Bills Rush O → Jets Rush D
offense1576 · 97th pct
defense1381 · 38th pct
edge +195 offense★ biggest edge
Jets Pass O → Bills Pass D
offense1314 · 6th pct
defense1479 · 91st pct
edge -165 defense
Jets Rush O → Bills Rush D
offense1362 · 19th pct
defense1400 · 47th pct
edge -38 defense

Bills

Josh AllenQB · rtg 1577
240 Pass yds1.4 Pass TD35 Rush yds
James CookRB · rtg 1586
85 Rush yds0.7 Rush TD10 Rec yds
Dalton KincaidTE · rtg 1505
3.6 Rec50 Rec yds0.3 Rec TD

Jets

Geno SmithQB · rtg 1473
210 Pass yds1.3 Pass TD0.7 INT
Garrett WilsonWR · rtg 1484
5.2 Rec60 Rec yds0.4 Rec TD
Breece HallRB · rtg 1500
65 Rush yds0.3 Rush TD20 Rec yds
Seahawks at RaidersSun Nov 15, 4:05PM ET
Seahawks's 84th-percentile rush defense looks to smother Raiders's 3rd-percentile running game — Fernando Mendoza projects for 175 pass yds.
Seahawks Pass O → Raiders Pass D
offense1484 · 72nd pct
defense1396 · 41st pct
edge +88 offense
Seahawks Rush O → Raiders Rush D
offense1424 · 69th pct
defense1363 · 31st pct
edge +61 offense
Raiders Pass O → Seahawks Pass D
offense1422 · 59th pct
defense1512 · 100th pct
edge -90 defense
Raiders Rush O → Seahawks Rush D
offense1218 · 3rd pct
defense1482 · 84th pct
edge -264 defense★ biggest edge

Seahawks

Drew LockQB · rtg 1383
180 Pass yds1.2 Pass TD0.4 INT
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · rtg 1551
6.7 Rec95 Rec yds0.7 Rec TD
AJ BarnerTE · rtg 1346
2.8 Rec30 Rec yds0.2 Rec TD

Raiders

Fernando Mendozarookie · college-continuousQB · rtg 1449
175 Pass yds0.7 Pass TD0.8 INT
Brock BowersTE · rtg 1596
5.5 Rec65 Rec yds0.6 Rec TD
Ashton JeantyRB · rtg 1428
50 Rush yds0.1 Rush TD30 Rec yds

Roster gate: nflverse 2026 roster (status ACT), fetched 2026-11-13 07:28; starters from the nflverse depth chart snapshot 2026-11-13T07:02:06Z. Unit elos are each team's most recent pre-game rating; percentiles rank them against all 32 teams this season. Veteran projections use matchup_project's engine-consistent adjusted form (season average + opponent delta). Rookie projections use the engine-inverted stat from the r-dial college-continuous seed (1400 + r × college final). Forecasts, not guarantees — we grade them next week.